in Air Transport

Aviation relief for African airlines critical as COVID-19 impacts deepen

Posted 24 April 2020 · Add Comment

The International Air Transport Association (IATA) has renewed its call for government relief measures as the impacts of the COVID-19 crisis in Africa deepen.

 

  • The region’s airlines could lose $6 billion of passenger revenue compared to 2019. That is $2billion more than was expected at the beginning of the month.
  • Job losses in aviation and related industries could grow to 3.1 million. That is half of the region’s 6.2 million aviation-related employment. Previous estimate was 2 million.
  • Full-year 2020 traffic is expected to plummet by 51% compared to 2019. Previous estimate was a fall of 32%.
  • GDP supported by aviation in the region could fall by $28 billion from $56 billion. Previous estimate was $17.8 billion.

These estimates are based on a scenario of severe travel restrictions lasting for three months, with a gradual lifting of restrictions in domestic markets, followed by regional and intercontinental.

Countries hardest hit include:

  • South Africa
    14.5 million fewer passengers resulting in a US$3.02 billion revenue loss, risking 252,100 jobs and US$5.1 billion in contribution to South Africa’s economy
  • Nigeria
    4.7 million fewer passengers resulting in a US$0.99 billion revenue loss, risking 125,400 jobs and US$0.89 billion in contribution to Nigeria’s economy
  • Ethiopia
    2.5 million fewer passengers resulting in a US$0.43 billion revenue loss, risking 500,500 jobs and US$1.9 billion in contribution to Ethiopia’s economy
  • Kenya
    3.5 million fewer passengers resulting in a US$0.73 billion revenue loss, risking 193,300 jobs and US$1.6 billion in contribution to Kenya’s economy
  • Tanzania
    1.5 million fewer passengers resulting in a US$0.31billion revenue loss, risking 336,200 jobs and US$1.5 billion in contribution to Tanzania’s economy
  • Mauritius
    3.5 million fewer passengers resulting in a US$0.54 billion revenue loss, risking 73,700 jobs and US$2 billion in contribution to Mauritius’ economy
  • Mozambique
    1.4 million fewer passengers resulting in a US$0.13 billion revenue loss, risking 126,400 jobs and US$0.2 billion in contribution to Mozambique’s economy
  • Ghana
    2.8 million fewer passengers resulting in a US$0.38 billion revenue loss, risking 284,300 jobs and US$1.6 billion in contribution to Ghana’s economy
  • Senegal
    2.6 million fewer passengers resulting in a US$0.33 billion revenue loss, risking 156,200 jobs and US$0.64 billion in contribution to Senegal’s economy
  • Cape Verde
    2.2 million fewer passengers resulting in a US$0.2 billion revenue loss, risking 46,700 jobs and US$0.48 billion in contribution to Cape Verde’s economy

To minimize the impact on jobs and the broader African economy it is vital that governments step up their efforts to aid the industry. Some governments in Africa have already taken direct action to support aviation, including:

  • Senegal announced US$128 million in relief for the Tourism and Air Transport sector
  • Seychelles has waived all landing and parking fees for April to December, 2020
  • Cote d’Ivoire has waived its Tourism Tax for transit passengers
  • As part of its economic support intervention, South Africa is deferring payroll, income and carbon taxes across all industries, which will also benefit airlines domiciled in that country

But more help is needed. IATA is calling for a mixture of:

  • direct financial support
  • loans, loan guarantees and support for the corporate bond market
  • tax relief

IATA has also appealed to development banks and other sources of finance to support Africa’s air transport sectors which are now on the verge of collapse.

“Airlines in Africa are struggling for survival. Air Mauritius has entered voluntary administration, South African Airways and SA Express are in business rescue, other distressed carriers have placed staff on unpaid leave or signaled their intention to cut jobs.  More airlines will follow if urgent financial relief is not provided. The economic damage of a crippled industry extends far beyond the sector itself.  Aviation in Africa supports 6.2 million jobs and $56 billion in GDP. Sector failure is not an option, more governments need to step up,” said Muhammad Al Bakri, IATA’s Regional Vice President for Africa and the Middle East.

Looking Ahead
In addition to vital financial relief, the industry will also need careful planning and coordination to ensure that airlines are ready when the pandemic is contained.

IATA is scoping a comprehensive approach to re-starting the industry when governments and public health authorities allow. A series of virtual regional summits, bringing together governments and industry stakeholders are taking place this week. The main objectives will be:

  • Understanding what is needed to re-open closed borders, and
  • Agreeing solutions that can be operationalized and scaled efficiently

“As governments struggle to contain the COVID-19 pandemic, an economic catastrophe has unfolded. Re-starting aviation and opening borders will be critical to the eventual economic recovery. Airlines are eager to get back to business when and in a way that it is safe. But starting up will be complicated. We need to make sure that the system is ready, have a clear vision of what is needed for a safe travel experience, establish passenger confidence and find ways to restore demand. Cooperation and harmonization across borders will be essential to restart aviation,” said Al Bakri.

 

Latest impact estimates, selected African countries:

NATION

Revenue Impact (US$ billion)

Passenger Demand Impact (millions)

Passenger demand impact %

Potential Jobs Impact

Potential GDP Impact (US$ billions)

South Africa

-3.02

-14.5

-56%

-252,100

-5.1

Nigeria

-0.99

-4.7

-50%

-125,400

-0.89

Ethiopia

-0.43

-2.5

-46%

-500,500

-1.9

Kenya

-0.73

-3.5

-50%

-193,300

-1.6

Tanzania

-0.31

-1.5

-39%

-336,200

-1.5

Mauritius

-0.54

-3.5

-59%

-73,700

-2

Mozambique

-0.13

-1.4

-49%

-126,400

-0.2

Ghana

-0.38

-2.8

-51%

-284,300

-1.6

Senegal

-0.33

-2.6

-51%

156,200

-0.64

Cape Verde

-0.2

-2.2

-54%

-46,700

-0.48

 

Impact Estimate April 2nd

nation

Revenue Impact (US$ billion)

Passenger Demand Impact (millions)

Passenger demand impact %

Potential Jobs Impact

Potential GDP Impact (US$ billions)

South Africa

-2.9

-10.7

-41%

-186,805

-3.8

Kenya

-0.54

-2.5

-36%

-137,965

-1.1

Ethiopia

-0.30

-1.6

-30%

-327,062

-1.2

Nigeria

-0.76

-3.5

-37%

-91,380

-0.65

 

 

* required field

Post a comment

Other Stories
Advertisement
Latest News

Tunisian National Guard forms air unit

The Tunisian National Guard has formed an air unit equipped with three Bell 429 GlobalRanger helicopters, and this has now been declared operational, writes Jon Lake.

Rolls-Roy focuses on reaching net zero carbon by 2050

Rolls-Royce has joined the UN Race to Zero campaign in the run up to COP26 to pioneer a resilient, inclusive, net zero carbon future.

IATA calls on Tunisia’s Government for direct financial relief for aviation

The International Air Transport Association (IATA) called on the Government of Tunisia to urgently provide financial relief measures for the aviation industry in order to mitigate the effects of the COVID-19 crisis on the nation’s

Building a continent’s competence

The African Federation of Non-Destructive Testing (AFNDT) takes a leading role in the expansion of NDT competence on the continent, mainly through training and certification.

DFS completes cargo conversion of Falcon 900B to help deliver masks to North Africa

Dassault Falcon Service (DFS) has completed the conversion of a Falcon 900B from passenger configuration to full cargo in record time.

AFRAA releases COVID-19 impact assessment on African Airlines

AFRAA has released an impact assessment analysis showing a 90.3% year on year passenger traffic reduction for the month of May; recovery is expected to start from Q3 2020 with domestic flights, followed by regional and intercontinental

AVMENA20 SK14191020
See us at
AVMENA20 BT1309100620